![]() ![]() Using summer league stats for rookies who attempted at least 20 3s in the summer and 50 the following NBA season, I found the best prediction of their rookie 3-point percentage weighted summer league attempts 70 percent more than college attempts (using their projected NBA 3-point percentage, not their actual college percentage). There's one key underlying question here: Does each individual NBA 3-point attempt tell us more about a player's NBA 3-point shooting than an NCAA 3-point attempt? And the answer here seems to be yes. The question is probably more like, at what point can we expect Kuzma to be an above-average 3-point shooter? From a Bayesianperspective, that's a product of two things: How many NBA attempts Kuzma has and how well he has shot on them. My hot take is Kuzma likely won't surpass Steve Kerr as the most accurate 3-point shooter in NBA history, which I'm pretty sure is not what you mean by take it seriously. He shot 4-of-5 on 3s in the one scrimmage he played at the NBA draft combine, 24-of-50 (48 percent) at the NBA summer league in Las Vegas and now 8-of-17 (47.1 percent) during his first three preseason games. For whatever reason - he has attributed it to greater focus because he knows he has to jump to shoot - the longer NBA 3 has agreed with Kuzma. ![]() You can tweet your questions using the hashtag #peltonmailbag or email them to three years at the University of Utah, Los Angeles Lakers rookie Kyle Kuzma shot 32.1 percent from the college 3-point line. This week's mailbag features your questions on Kyle Kuzma's 3-point shooting, various season projections and more. ![]()
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